The less we talk about week eleven the better. My normal structure for these articles is to review the previous week before looking ahead to the upcoming weekend. On this one there’s no need to do an in-depth review of last Sunday and here’s why.
Week 11 (briefly) Reviewed
All I’ll say about week eleven is Dak had the lowest quarterback rating of his career, so that sank our stack with Lamb who also went off injured. Tee Higgins and Bryan Edwards put up their lowest scores of the season and our value running back play in D’Onta Foreman sucked just like the Jags D did for us.
We ended the game week with 70.24 fantasy points. If you doubled that score we would have only won $36.77.
It was a horrible week and this weekend doesn’t look much better.
We lost six teams to the Thanksgiving slate along with the usual four due to Sunday & Monday night football. We have the Cardinals & Chiefs on a bye meaning it’s slim pickings for this Sunday and it’s fair to say I’m far from confident.
Having said that, someone has to win it and we are still in profit on the year at +$70.05 so if there’s any reason to read on, it’s that.
So let’s hit the $20 – $3.5M Fantasy Football Millionaire with hope more than expectation in week eleven.
Week 12 Tips
QB – Cam Newton ($5,600)
One reason I probably don’t feel good about the game week is the fact I’ve gone with the 32-year-old Cam Newton who’s way past his best. However, he scored 26.2 fantasy points on his first start of the season, largely down to his 10 rush attempts and rushing TD. At the price he allows me to go where I want with my next pick because if Cam doesn’t run the ball in, this guy will…
RB – Christian McCaffrey ($9,000)
He’s CMC. Just look at his numbers when he’s healthy and you’d hope the threat of Cam in the read-option will only help his chances. Despite Newton possibly taking carries away from no.22 he will still command 20 or so touches both on the ground and through the air. If the Dolphins D have any hesitation about who to follow out of the Panthers backfield, we’ll be there to capitalise on it with our first two picks.
RB – Ty Johnson ($4,300)
Another pick that doesn’t exactly make you feel great. However, if you’re going with McCaffrey at RB1 and want a couple of studs at receiver, it’s a case of needs must. Michael Carter has been fairly productive running the ball for the Jets considering how much they have to chase games. He’s missing this Sunday with Johnson likely battling Tevin Coleman for those carries. We opt for Johnson over him for his pass-catching ability having seen 25 targets in the last 5 games with Carter in the team.
WR – Deebo Samuel ($7,900)
Up until week 9, Deebo was averaging around nine targets a game for this Niners’ offence. That number has dried up in recent weeks with a combined seven targets in weeks 10 & 11. However, during both those outings, we’ve seen 13 rush attempts from Samuel, which is more than double his rushing numbers through weeks 1 to 9. If we can start to see a blend of both from number 19 we are likely to see a big fantasy day sometime soon.
WR – Chris Godwin ($7,000)
My aim this week is to find receivers who have the capability to break a slate open. Chris Godwin has managed that twice so far this season having games for 100+ yards and a touchdown. He faces the Colts, who are 27th ranked against wideouts and if the Bucs can stop the run this could turn into a fast-paced shootout through the air in Indi.
WR – Michael Pittman Jr ($5,600)
If the Bucs do manage to slow down Jonathan Taylor which we are relying on here the game could quickly become very pass-heavy. Step up MPJ. 81 targets on the season so far with five touchdowns to go along with it. Another player capable of finding the endzone along with the 100-yard bonus.
TE – Geoff Swaim ($2,600)
Like the Johnson selection, it’s not a confident pick but Swaim seems to have some value here at $2.6k. In his last three starts, he’s snagged 4 catches in each and two touchdowns to go with it. With the Titans receiver core decimated by injury, that number could rise against a stingy Pats D this Sunday.
FLEX – Elijah Moore ($5,600)
Not only are we relying on two Carolina Panthers this week, but we also have two New York Jets and I wonder why I don’t feel great about things. Yet Elijah Moore is starting to live up to expectations for this Jets offence. Having flashed in pre-season we have seen a more consistent Moore since week 10, with him getting his first 100-yard bonus last Sunday. He also has 4 touchdowns in his last 3 games and if that can continue we have another potential slate breaker.
DEF – Giants ($2,400)
We’ve played the Giants D twice this season and they’ve picked up 31 total points for us on those occasions. I don’t see them hitting double figures in fantasy this Sunday but they are built to stop the big play. If they can have more joy on offence now offensive coordinator Jason Garret has left the building, it will only help them on the other side of the ball.